Brazilian Coffee Monthly Update: June 2022

Our latest update about the Brazilian coffee industry. Read about exports, prices, weather, stocks, and crops.

• Brazil exported 2.8m bags in May 2022, a drop of 6.7% MOM but 5.1% up YOY. The recent improvement in the logistics outlook has benefited Brazilian coffee exports. However, the situation remains challenging for exporters, given the higher freight costs and container availability. Additionally, the current situation in Eastern Europe (the war in Ukraine conflict) still brings concerns to exporters.

• In June 2022, the spot barter ratio reached 3.3 bags/metric ton, a worsening of 10% YOY but an improvement of 17% MOM. Since March 2022, urea prices have plummeted, and it had a positive impact on the index.

• In May 2022, local coffee prices averaged BRL 1,261/bag (60kg), an increase of 1% MOM and 53% YOY. In June 2022, coffee prices are averaging BRL 1,319/bag.

• May rainfall was below average in most of the coffee-producing regions. In addition to the coffee quality, the drier weather should favor the harvesting progress. However, delays in the coffee harvest have been reported, especially in robusta regions. Late maturation and labor problems (availability and higher costs) are impacting the picking. In the coming weeks, prices should remain volatile due to uncertainties in demand and supply (the delay in the Brazilian harvest), logistic issues, Russia and Ukraine’s conflict and the Brazilian winter season (frost risk).

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