Food & Agribusiness
We provide crucial market information and insights into a full range of global agricultural commodities. Keeping our clients up-to-date on international market developments for grains, oilseeds, palm oil, sugar, cotton, coffee, and cocoa.
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ICE #2 Cotton prices peak in May 2018 – Rabobank’s base scenario maintains a bearish short-term outlook into Q4 2018, before prices recover through 2019. Large market developments lay ahead, including US-China trade tensions, additional Chinese import quotas, and the US crop harvest. Will the US be able to provide enough 2018/19 exports to help satisfy 4% growth in global consumption? We outline price & fundamental scenarios in the event of both ‘yes’ and ‘no’. Global demand growth is forecast to remain strong through 2018/19 – Rabobank anticipates a new trade landscape and for global trade flows to shift considerably.
After a CBOT Soybean sell-off to ten-year lows, and followed by some consolidation, the risks have not yet fully been taken out of the market. With ongoing trade wars between the US and China, along with the high risk that China will introduce an additional 25% duty on US soybeans, global markets are likely to face continued price volatility. In this video, we take a look at the risk factors and the regions impacted.
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