North American agribusiness review February 2024

This periodical update provides a market outlook for dairy, cattle, wheat, and other key commodities, and gives an overview of what developments to watch in the upcoming months in North America.

- Economy: Sticky inflation.

- Climate: Uncertainty driven by transition from El Niño in 2024.

- Logistics: Red Sea conflict sends prices up, continued volatility in 2024.

- Consumer Retail & Foodservice: US shoppers have adjusted to financial pressures.

- Cattle: Drought conditions improve across the US, leading to possible herd stabilization.

- Corn: South America poised to deliver a bumper crop of its own.

- Dairy: Milk production was lower than the previous year throughout 2H 2023, but farmer margins remain weak.

- Farm Inputs: Costs have to come down, and hopefully they will.

- Feed: Downward pressure on feed prices as corn prices decline.

- Fruit: California strawberry acreage at multiyear highs.

- Pork: Sow slaughter accelerates as margins slow to improve.

- Poultry: Consumers seek out value options, poultry remains well positioned.

- Soybeans: Will Brazil validate traders’ growing short positions?

- Sweeteners: Mexico’s sugar production continues to struggle.

- Tree Nuts: Strong pace in exports is the common denominator.

- Vegetables: Leafy greens show reduced price volatility given steady supplies.

- Wheat: Better crop conditions but lower domestic demand.

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  • Al Griffin

    Senior Data Analyst
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  • Roland Fumasi

    Head of RaboResearch Food & Agribusiness - North America
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  • Christine McCracken

    Senior Analyst – Animal Protein
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  • Lance Zimmerman

    Senior Analyst – Animal Protein
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  • Tom Bailey

    Senior Analyst – Consumer Foods
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  • JP Frossard

    Analyst – Consumer Foods
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  • Andrick Payen

    Analyst – Grains & Oilseeds
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  • Stephen Nicholson

    Global Strategist – Grains & Oilseeds, Farm Inputs
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  • David Magaña

    Senior Analyst – Horticulture
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  • Mary Ledman

    Global Sector Strategist – Dairy
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  • Xinnan Li

    Analyst – Packaging & Logistics
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  • Pablo Sherwell

    Lead of F&A Data Analytics - North America
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  • Jim Owen

    Senior Analyst – Packaging & Logistics
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  • Samuel Taylor

    Analyst - Farm Inputs
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  • Owen Wagner

    Senior Analyst – Grains & Oilseeds
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  • Lucas Fuess

    Senior Analyst – Dairy
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  • Chase Beisly

    Analyst – Animal Protein
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